Estimates for local areas

Eric Emerson and Chris Hatton showed that roughly twenty people in every thousand have a learning disability. 4.6 of these are likely to be known to local health and social services. But these numbers vary with age.

Using the most recent population estimates, we have calculated expected numbers of people in each local authority area.

Link to PDF file View the definition (PDF file)

Area	Population	Number probably known to services	Likely true number
England	51,808,846	236,235	1,043,449
East	5,766,900	26,054	115,455
East Midlands	4,451,500	20,292	89,885
London	7,754,000	36,434	157,932
North East	2,584,300	11,751	52,208
North West	6,898,000	31,439	138,891
South East	8,435,600	38,206	169,054
South West	5,229,346	23,369	104,835
West Midlands	5,431,100	24,628	108,801
Yorkshire And The Humber	5,258,100	24,063	106,389

3 comments

Nigel Godfrey

Thu 27 Sep, 12:32:10

Hi, I wonder whether the prevalence estimates you will developing will be using some local data to adjust national prevalence by age band (and level of disability), rather than simply applying national estimates prorata'd by population.. Planning4Care went some way to doing last year for a number of pilot authorities.

It would be interesting when available for draft methodologies to be added to the site for estimations et al.

Gyles Glover

Thu 27 Sep, 12:32:10

The current estimates are adjusted only for the age / sex structure of local populations. We are currently working on a project to look at how we can take account of local variations. This will be described further on the project page for Which places have more or less people with learning disabilities?

Mark Mordak

Mon 19 Nov, 11:21:03

Hi Gyles,

Thank you for all your hard work. I was just wondering whether this project has been put on hold or so (as the web link appears to have been taken off)?

I am also interested in the aspects Nigel has mentioned, i.e. prevalence by age band and level of disability on local and national levels. It would also be very interesting to compare rural and urban areas.

Kind regards,

Mark Mordak

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